Illustration for Strategy & research marketing skills
Strategy & research skill · v0.1.0

Market sizing skill

Estimate TAM, SAM and SOM bottom-up and top-down, with stated assumptions, to size goals and budgets.

Free · MIT licence · Copy needs a free sign-in

Category
Strategy & research
Works with
Claude, Codex, Cursor, any agent
Format
SKILL.md · 1,758 words
Version
v0.1.0
Price
Free · MIT

The Market sizing skill file

cmo-market-sizing/SKILL.md1,758 words · MIT
---
name: cmo-market-sizing
description: Estimate TAM, SAM and SOM bottom-up and top-down, with stated assumptions, to size goals and budgets.
---

Turns "how big is this market?" into a defensible range that supports a decision: enter, narrow to a wedge, validate first, or stay out. Maggie defines the market precisely, sizes it with at least two independent methods, labels every assumption, and translates the obtainable share into a revenue goal and budget the team can plan around. An honest range with visible math beats a precise-looking number with none.

When to use

  • "What's our TAM/SAM/SOM?", "is this niche big enough?", "size this for the deck".
  • Before a marketing plan, to cap revenue targets at something reachable.
  • Choosing between segments, verticals or countries.
  • Setting next year's revenue goal and the budget it implies.
  • Not for: picking the ideal customer or understanding why people buy (cmo-customer-research), the full 12-month plan (cmo-marketing-plan), or competitor teardowns (cmo-competitor-research).
Sign in to see, copy and download the whole skillIt's free. Copying also upvotes and saves it, so you'll find it again under Saved.
Preview: the workflow, output, example, quality bar and guardrails unlock when you sign in.

Adapts open work by coreyhaines31/marketingskills (MIT).

Everyday usage

How people use Market sizing day to day

Ask in plain words. The agent picks this skill, asks for anything it needs and hands back the result. Words in a highlight are yours to change.

Most common · also on the Strategy & research page

Market sizing

Market definition with explicit scope

Ask your agentHow big is this market
  • Market definition with explicit scope
  • TAM, SAM and SOM as ranges, each with method, assumptions and confidence label
  • Triangulation table comparing at least two methods
  • Market attractiveness score and an enter / narrow / validate / avoid call
  • Revenue goal and budget implications, plus the validation tasks that would tighten the range

More things to ask

  • What's our TAM SAM SOM
  • Is this market big enough to go after
  • Size the market for our investor deck
  • How much revenue could we realistically win
  • Should we enter this new segment or country
  • How many potential customers are there in our niche?
How it works

From input to output

  1. 1You give it
    • One-sentence description of the product, buyer and price model
    • Geography and segments in and out of scope
    • Any first-party numbers: customers, average revenue per customer, conversion rates, CAC, retention
    • Known competitors and any public revenue, headcount or pricing data
    • Current marketing budget and sales capacity
  2. 2It works through the method
    • Asks what's missing, one question at a time
    • Follows the workflow step by step
    • Checks the result against its quality bar and guardrails
  3. 3You get
    • Market definition with explicit scope
    • TAM, SAM and SOM as ranges, each with method, assumptions and confidence label
    • Triangulation table comparing at least two methods
    • Market attractiveness score and an enter / narrow / validate / avoid call
    • Revenue goal and budget implications, plus the validation tasks that would tighten the range
Why a skill

The skill against the alternatives

Do it yourselfHire helpMarket sizing skill
CostYour own timeAgency or freelancer feesFree, MIT licence
Time to a first resultHours, every timeDays to weeks, plus revisionsMinutes, in your agent
ConsistencyDepends on remembering every stepAs long as the retainer lastsSame steps and checks every run
The methodIn your headTheir process, often hiddenWritten down: read it, change it
Who does the workYou, from scratchSomeone learning your businessYour agent, following the skill
FAQ

Questions about the Market sizing skill

What it does, what it needs and how to use it with your agent.

Still not sure?Try it free on your own website and see the first posts before you decide.
Start free
What is the Market sizing skill?

Estimate TAM, SAM and SOM bottom-up and top-down, with stated assumptions, to size goals and budgets.

It's one of cmo.so's open Strategy & research skills: a SKILL.md file that tells an AI agent when to use it, what to ask you first, the steps to follow, the checks to pass and what to hand back, so the job is done the same careful way every time.

When should I use it?

Reach for it when you'd otherwise say something like “How big is this market”, “What's our TAM SAM SOM”, “Is this market big enough to go after”. Your agent reads the skill's description and picks it for requests like these, so you don't need to name it.

If a request is close but not quite right, the skill says so and points to the related skill that fits better, instead of forcing a poor answer.

What do I need to give it?

It works best with one-sentence description of the product, buyer and price model; geography and segments in and out of scope; any first-party numbers: customers, average revenue per customer, conversion rates, CAC, retention; known competitors and any public revenue, headcount or pricing data; and current marketing budget and sales capacity.

You don't have to prepare everything up front. The skill asks for missing pieces one at a time and says plainly when it's working from an assumption instead of your data.

What do I get back?

You get market definition with explicit scope; tAM, SAM and SOM as ranges, each with method, assumptions and confidence label; triangulation table comparing at least two methods; market attractiveness score and an enter / narrow / validate / avoid call; and revenue goal and budget implications, plus the validation tasks that would tighten the range.

Every result comes from a written method with a quality bar, so numbers name their source, claims are checked and the output is ready to use or share rather than a rough draft.

Is it free?

Yes. The skill is open source under the MIT licence, so you can use it, change it and share it, including for client work.

Seeing, copying and downloading the whole file on cmo.so needs a free sign-in. Copying also upvotes and saves it, so you can find it again under Saved on the skills page.

Which AI agents can use it?

Claude Code installs it from the cmo.so marketplace. Any agent that reads SKILL.md folders, such as Codex or Cursor, can use it once the folder is in its skills directory.

You can also paste the copied skill into ChatGPT, Claude or any assistant at the start of a conversation and ask it to follow the skill.

How do I install it?

In Claude Code, run /plugin marketplace add AI-Marketing-OS-LTD/cmo-so-skills, then /plugin install cmo-so-strategy@cmo-so. That installs this skill together with the rest of the Strategy & research group.

For other agents, sign in, press Copy or Download above and put the file in your agent's skills folder as SKILL.md inside a folder named after the skill.

Do I need a cmo.so account to use it?

No. The skill works on its own with whatever your agent can already see and do: your files, the pages you share and the data you paste in.

A free cmo.so account only matters if you also want Maggie to plan, write and publish your marketing every day.

Which skills work well with it?

It pairs well with Marketing plan; and Customer research & ICP. The agent can hand over from one to the next in the same conversation, for example research first, then the plan, then the writing.

Each of them has its own page with what it needs and what it returns, linked below.

Can I change it to fit my business?

Yes. It's a plain Markdown file, so you can edit the steps, add your own checks and examples, and keep your version in your own repo. The MIT licence allows it.

If your change would help others too, suggest it on the skills page or open a pull request on GitHub, and it may be folded into the library for everyone.

Where does the method come from?

It's written by cmo.so and adapts open work by others, credited on this page: coreyhaines31/marketingskills (MIT).

Only permissively licensed work is adapted; copyleft repos are used for ideas only and repos without a licence aren't used at all.

Is my data sent to cmo.so when the agent uses it?

No. The skill only guides your own agent; your files, documents and data stay wherever your agent and its tools keep them.

cmo.so only sees what you connect to cmo.so. Your votes and saves on this page are stored against your cmo.so sign-in.

Ready when you are!

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Enter your website. Maggie uses the same playbooks to plan, write and publish your marketing every day.

  • Free plan, no card needed
  • You decide what goes out
  • Cancel any time

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